Monday, February 10, 2020

Eyes on NH Tomorrow

New Hampshire votes tomorrow, not caucusing but real primary voting. Maybe this time tomorrow we will have a better idea of who will be the Democrat nominee in November.

If I had to guess I’d say the Biden and Warren efforts are staggering, the Buttigieg pace is accelerating, and Sanders is in the lead. Sanders is an old red, and Buttigieg was raised by a neoMarxist. If Biden falters big time look for his voters to move to either Klobuchar or Bloomberg.

Because of the tie between city mayors and policing of cities, mayors are at a disadvantage with black voters. Perhaps it isn’t fair but it is a real issue.

It is a rare urban police force that doesn’t manage to get crossways with its black community, while doing their job. Disadvantage Bloomberg and Buttigieg, and less directly, the no-longer-active Harris. It would have been a problem for Castro too, had he ever gotten traction.