Monday, August 3, 2020

Good News ... Maybe

Post-Brexit, the U.S. is quite important to the Brits, so this from Power Line isn't surprising. As the British have somewhat reduced betting on Europe and shifted their focus to us, the direction of our politics has become more important to them.
Britain’s Sunday Express is doing polling in the U.S. in conjunction with the Democracy Institute, a right-leaning Washington think tank. The most recent results, as published in the Express, look great for President Trump.

The Express/Democracy Institute Poll finds President Trump leading Joe Biden 48/46 in national popular vote. This includes leads for Trump in a long series of swing states that includes Minnesota, where Trump leads 46/45. This poll, assuming the same results on Election Day and disregarding voter fraud, sees Trump expanding on his 2016 winning margin.

The poll sees Trump getting 20% of the black vote and 38% of the Hispanic vote, winning numbers for him.

It also finds a wide enthusiasm gap in favor of President Trump, and a wide partisan difference in willingness to express political opinions.
One robin doesn't mean spring has arrived, and as author Hinderaker notes, one poll can be an outlier. We need to see if other polls start trending in this direction.