As noted last night, the media today is full of stories about the leaked document showing an apparent majority on the Supreme Court favors overturning Roe v. Wade. One of the smarter analyses I saw said the impact on the midterm elections might be minimal.
The reasoning went as follows. Abortion is mostly an A-list motivating factor for white women, a group who already vote for Democrats. The groups whose motivation and direction are under close scrutiny in this election - Hispanics and to a lesser degree Blacks - seem primarily interested in other issues, often of an economic nature.
Over the next couple of weeks, polling will clarify whether this insight is likely to be accurate. Stay tuned.
