Futurists' prognostications of what the world will look like a decade or more in advance are always fun to look at, think about, and evaluate. While they are virtually always wrong in major ways, and we should be happy that is so, they are still intriguing.
I think of them as plotless science fiction. Effectively they are imagined documentaries whereas sci. fi. is short stories and novels set in an imagined future.
All of the above by way of introducing a link to a projection of what the world will resemble geopolitically in the year 2040, some 19 years from now. It comes to us courtesy of Geopolitical Futures where George Friedman often publishes good insights.
GPF predicts a Japan stronger than China, a smaller and weaker EU, and a resurgence of Poland and Turkey. And the U.S.?
One fact that will not change is the United States’ position as the sole global power. Over the next 19 years, it will adopt a new strategy to maintain power at the lowest possible cost. This strategy will resemble isolationism, in that the U.S. will not be drawn into regional military conflicts in any significant capacity.
That right there is some sunny optimism. I sure hope GPF is correct.
