Monday, May 25, 2020

New Estimates

Reason reports something new:
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the current "best estimate" for the fatality rate among Americans with COVID-19 symptoms is 0.4 percent. The CDC also estimates that 35 percent of people infected by the COVID-19 virus never develop symptoms. Those numbers imply that the virus kills less than 0.3 percent of people infected by it—far lower than the infection fatality rates (IFRs) assumed by the alarming projections that drove the initial government response to the epidemic, including broad business closure and stay-at-home orders.

The CDC estimates that the CFR for COVID-19 falls to 0.05 percent among people younger than 50 and rises to 1.3 percent among people 65 and older.
In other words, it is no bubonic plague, it won’t decimate our society. So many having it without symptoms makes it look like a “designed virus” as this feature makes tracking carriers nearly impossible.

I’m not certain we’ll ever know if it was created or happened naturally. It’s possible all but one or two people who know the truth of that have been murdered, and those one or two will never say.

I wish I was more confident of CDC’s estimates proving out, their track record hasn’t been stellar.