Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Political Ponderings

Further thinking about the race for the GOP presidential nomination. Nikki Haley had her best shot at redeeming her campaign in New Hampshire. 

Running unopposed in the non-Trump lane she did better than in Iowa, but still was beaten by more than ten percentage points. Her staff has to be asking themselves, if she couldn't beat Trump in NH, where can she beat him?

The short answer is "nowhere." Absent a Trump felony conviction, she won't win anywhere. Even with one, she may still lose most places. 

We don't honestly know, or even have a good idea about, what will happen if he is convicted. Will a third of his support evaporate? Will it depend on the charge? It hasn't happened before so we are in terra incognita in terms of precedent. 

If I had to guess, I'd think the committed Trump voters want to give a big middle finger 'salute' to Washington, its swamp, and all the faceless bureaucrats and thus stay with him. The non-MAGA Republicans who remember his presidency as being much better than Biden's are the question. 

I hope they understand the degree to which Biden's DOJ has been politicized and will make allowances. I'm pretty sure the Democrats don't understand what a dangerous precedent they've set by prosecuting political enemies. 

What goes around comes around, and often bites the originator's backside.