Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Plague Diary

Power Line's John Hinderaker has been, if not exactly a coronavirus skeptic, at least a guy concerned about the major economic setback it has triggered. He has a chart from the Centers for Disease Control that appears to show a plateau in the number of new cases reported. I hope he is interpreting it correctly.

It would certainly be fine (a) if a plateau proves to be the case and (b) if there isn't a big second wave of infections/deaths that follows on as we go back to work and school. I am confident you join me in hoping for that two-part outcome. Before I go there, however, I need to see a month's more data.

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Later ... It would appear that the plateau is happening, not just here but in other countries as well. This is what Dr. Brix was relating at the afternoon Coronavirus news conference; I tend to think she's a straight shooter. 

The President freely admits he is a booster, a glass-half-full kind of guy. He said it isn't his job to tell us we can't win, it's his job to convince us we can and will win. He agreed that there are hopeful trends in the data, while warning this week and perhaps next will be very tough weeks with a lot of already-sick people dying.

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One new thing got a lot of attention at the press conference this afternoon is the disproportionately large number of African-Americans among those dying from coronavirus. U.S. News & World Report writes:
In both Louisiana and Chicago, for example, recent statistics showed that roughly 70% of COVID-19 deaths occurred among blacks, even though they are a minority in both areas.

In Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, blacks make up about 27% percent of the population but comprised almost half of all COVID-19 infections – and, as of data early Tuesday afternoon, 71% of all fatalities.
Reading several stories with this focus, and hearing what was said on TV by the President and others this afternoon, I found fascinating the clear PC effort being made to avoid blaming the victims for their plight. I expect all to say the disparate impact is the result of racism. I wonder whether many of those blaming racism believe what they're saying?