Monday, July 31, 2023

Poll: Trump Lead Appears Insurmountable

The New York Times/Siena College poll is out and the Baltimore Sun website has the column (no paywall) describing what the poll found about the GOP primary race. A sarcastic summary of findings could well be "Trump and the six dwarfs."

Absent any tectonic shifts or cataclysmic upheavals in the electorate, it is difficult to see how anyone other than Trump gets the nomination for 2024.

Trump held decisive advantages across almost every demographic group and region and in every ideological wing of the party, the survey found, as Republican voters waved away concerns about his escalating legal jeopardy. He led by wide margins among men and women, younger and older voters, moderates and conservatives, those who went to college and those who didn’t, and in cities, suburbs and rural areas.

In interviews with poll respondents, a recurring theme emerged: They like DeSantis; they love Trump.

It strikes me Democrats will read the preceding sentence and be dumbfounded - truly at a loss to understand those feelings or the people who hold them.

Suppose Trump is convicted of one or more federal felonies, would that change minds? I'm not sure voters have mentally crossed that bridge.

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An interesting sidebar: American voters often elect presidents who turn out to be womanizers - in my lifetime FDR, JFK, Bill Clinton, and Donald Trump. Some would add Ike to that list. 

Apparently these very alpha men share a special something that women are drawn to, as well as voters. Perhaps it is charisma?