A window of opportunity is closing. If Russia doesn’t invade Ukraine in the next month, it probably won’t do so until very late spring or early summer, if at all. The spring thaw turns the unpaved parts of this region into a swamp in which wheeled vehicles bog down and movement is problematic even for tracked vehicles or foot soldiers.
Worrying about the weather seems old-fashioned, but when the issue is movement of men, machines and material across open country, it matters. “General Mud” is a remorseless opponent, one who serves entropy.