Texas Likely Remains a Red State

Writing at Fox News, Chuck DeVore looks at the data concerning whether Texas will turn blue and vote for Democrats in the near future. Suspected of enabling this is the movement of people from blue states to TX seeking jobs and affordable housing.

These migrants are thought to bring blue state voting habits with them. DeVore finds evidence this isn’t so.

Texas Public Policy Foundation contracted with WPA Intelligence, the same polling firm used by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, and surveyed 800 registered voters across the state.

The poll found that compared to native Texans, people who moved to Texas were more likely to have voted for President Trump, with voters born in Texas favoring Trump over Clinton by 7 percent compared to transplants favoring Trump by 12 percent. Remember, Trump won Texas by 9 percent in 2016.

This result is similar to the findings of a CNN exit poll in the 2018 Senate race between Cruz and O’Rourke showing that native Texans favored O’Rourke by 3 percent compared to people who moved to Texas supporting Cruz by 15 percent. And an earlier poll by the Texas Tribune and UT Austin found that 57 percent of Californians who moved to Texas were self-described conservatives compared to 27 percent liberals.

A progressive leaving CA or NY for work reasons, would try to head somewhere he’d find like minds. Evidence suggests many such head to Colorado, which really bums my conservative relatives who call CO home.

It appears most TX immigrants from blue states truly are refugees from blue state politics, not merely the economics. Our national sorting continues.