Beginning Answers, and Further Questions
- Biden endorses Harris to be this year's nominee, intends to serve out balance of his term until Jan. 20. Will speak later in week explaining his decision rationale.
- Unclear if party will support Harris or declare an open process in which she is one of several (?) possibles. Also unclear if money pledged to Biden-Harris is under his control, or ???
- It turns out the source Scott Johnson cited who predicted a Sunday Biden exit was absolutely on target. Those who debunked that source, obviously were not.
- Peggy Noonan's "big history" continues to be made. We are in the proverbial "uncharted territory" now, we have no precedents for what has occurred and is occurring.
- In his latest Silver Bulletin post, Nate Silver said as much, and that was before today's bombshell announcement. The various predictive models based on past commonalities among presidential elections are at least suspect, and perhaps inapplicable to this year's path-breaking race.
- One thing we've learned this year is that badly blowing a debate can have catastrophic effects on a campaign. The conventional wisdom on debates has suffered a sudden shock, nobody expected anyone to perform as poorly as Biden did.
