Wall Street Journal and Daily Mail articles flagged on my Apple News app* are reporting SecState Pompeo and the Saudis are both saying that Iran sent the drones which badly damaged the largest Saudi refinery. The strong implication is that the drones were launched from Iran, not by Yemen’s Houthis who claimed responsibility and who are supported by Iran.
It would seem there is a good chance U.S. bombs will be falling on Iran sometime soon. Those most affected by the oil shortage will be the Europeans, I wonder if NATO would sign onto an attack? Probably not.
A new war in the Gulf will certainly qualify as a “black swan” event vis-a-vis U.S. politics. Whatever Trump chooses to do, or not do, count on the gaggle of Democrat would-be challengers to swear he made the wrong choice. This we know a priori, as if seen swirling in a crystal ball.
*It is the nature of this app that I can’t give you a link to the individual articles, sorry.