Tuesday, September 24, 2019

(More Than) A Ray of Hope

Lucianne.com links to an Andrew Malcolm article for McClatchy that is, by today’s political analysis standards, almost bizarrely balanced. See his distillation of 2020’s real election question.
Now that they’ve seen Trump in action in office, his daily on-camera and online behavior and his fondness for tumult and insult, will enough voters in just the right places want to extend the real estate magnate’s Washington lease? Or will they, as some polls now indicate, show their dislike for him on the ballot?

Will his fulfilled promises — creating millions of new jobs, enacting tax cuts, crushing the ISIS caliphate, rebuilding the military and slashing regulations, among others — outweigh the simmering unease, distaste and fatigue over his uncommon behavior?
See Malcolm’s conclusion.
During the 2018 midterm year, a Gallup Poll found that only 37% of registered U.S. voters believed Trump deserved a second term, statistical encouragement for those still incapable of accepting the raucous reality of his upset defeat of Hillary Clinton.

But here’s another shocking reality. Despite all the tumult, Trump’s 37% reelect approval in the first midterm year is essentially identical at the identical time to those who said Bill Clinton and Barack Obama deserved a second term. As you may recall, both men succeeded.
No one thought Trump had a chance in 2016 either. Remember your happy surprise that November?