Walter has written an “inside baseball” look at Democrat vs. Republican performance in suburban districts. Warning: this article is written for those who love political minutiae. A key finding:
Suburban success for Democrats has come almost exclusively in the areas in and around big cities, like Denver, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Detroit. There have been fewer inroads into suburbs surrounding smaller cities like Cincinnati, Ohio; Spokane, Washington; or Indianapolis, Indiana.What Walter doesn’t say is that this is another indication that the Democrats rely heavily on non-white demographics and less-than-often-claimed on suburban (white) women. Tribal politics is still very much in evidence, as we’ve noted before.
Why? Not surprisingly, the most populous metro areas also have a "disproportionate share of the nation's African-American, Latino, and Asian-American inhabitants."
That diversity has helped to fuel the growth of majority-minority suburban areas. And, Democrats have been winning those suburban districts. There are now almost as many Democratic-held suburban seats that are majority-minority (49) as there are Democratic-held urban seats that are majority-minority (54).
It is also worth noting that Democrat-touted “reparations” for African-Americans are a wedge issue. If ever passed, tax-paying Hispanics and Asian-Americans whose ancestors had no hand in African enslavement will get to help pay for reparations and cannot feel this income transfer is just. More non-white voters for Trump? Probably.
