The New York Times' number cruncher Nate Cohn has looked again and finds that young voters continue to move to the right as they age. This contradicts what had formerly been claimed.
Here Steven Hayward has for our enjoyment Nate's work, out from behind NYT's paywall. Apologies for echoing a quote. Cohn writes:
Millennials Are Not an Exception. They've Moved to the Right.
Fifteen years ago, a new generation of young voters propelled Barack Obama to a decisive victory that augured a new era of Democratic dominance. Fifteen years later, those once young voters aren’t so young — and aren’t quite so Democratic.
In the 2020 presidential election, voters who were 18 to 29 in 2008 backed Joe Biden by 55 percent to 43 percent, according to our estimates, a margin roughly half that of Mr. Obama’s 12 years earlier.
The exit polls show it even closer, with Mr. Biden winning by just 51-45 among voters who were 18 to 27 in 2008 (exit polls report results among those 30 to 39, not 30 to 41 — the group that was 18 to 29 in 2008).
