I was reading this story in USAToday about the large group of would-be Republican presidential nominees. What struck me is something not included in their column.
Some pollster should be out there asking those who pick someone other than Trump as their choice for the nomination the following question.
You preferred someone other than Trump. If that candidate falls by the wayside before the primary in your state, is your second choice Trump or one of the non-Trump candidates remaining?
If Trump is often the second choice, he is likely going to win the nomination. If most of those say they'd choose another non-Trump candidate, then his campaign is in some trouble.
At the same time, ask those who prefer Trump if they would (a) vote for another Republican if Trump isn't nominated, (b) vote for the Democrat, (c) vote for a third party, or (d) not vote.
If most Trump voters don't pick choice (a), then the GOP had damn well better nominate Trump to have any shot at all. What's involved is simple arithmetic.
