Wednesday, September 9, 2020

Many Trump Voters Have Degrees

The number crunchers at Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight site are normally thought some of the best in the business of understanding the interplay between political trends and demographics. Yesterday Perry Bacon Jr. wrote there about Trump's appeal to various groups. His title:

A Big Chunk Of People Of Color And White People With Degrees Are Behind Trump

Bacon indicates that while Trump voters are stereotyped as whites with no college degree, in fact some 38% of the votes he got in 2016 came from whites with college degrees (26%) and non-whites (12%). That is almost 4 out of 10 Trump 2016 votes came from groups Democrats believe they have a lock on.

As an overeducated (3 college degrees) white who supports Trump, it was good to learn I'm not a political outlier. And that the better class of numbers guys at FiveThirtyEight understand there are many like me, especially in red states like WY.

Afterthought: How do I explain the above? Prosperity is hard to argue with. After Obama's lackluster 8 years and Trump's boom, the choice of party isn't a hard one to make.