Thursday, September 3, 2020

The Discount Rate

If you'd like President Trump to have four more years in office, and have been depressed by the polls, I've found something to cheer you up. Red State does an overview of some Nate Silver analytics which show that at least to some degree you can discount the widely reported Biden lead. See what Silver wrote:

The Electoral College is not really *safe* for Biden unless he wins by 5+

Silver's "5+" is 5 percentage points, in case you're curious. Sounds like somebody learned the 2016 lesson, doesn't it?